An Analysis of the CSIS Report on the Invasion of Taiwan
An Analysis of the CSIS Report on the Invasion of Taiwan By: Marco Dorazio: 1/31/2022 Recently, the CSIS (Center for Strategic & International Studies) published a report on a hypothetical invasion of Taiwan by China. This was one of the first reports where analysts found that the US and Taiwan could jointly defend Taiwan from an amphibious invasion of the Island. I wanted to write an article about this a while ago, but I never had the time so I’ll give you it now. The report found that China is unlikely to succeed in an invasion of Taiwan after 24 computer simulations of such an invasion. These simulations included many different scenarios and restrictions on the capabilities of each side. For the base scenario, the researchers found that China was unable to capture major cities and was out of supply in the first 10 days. Importantly, in all base scenario simulations, China loses at least 90 percent of the Chinese amphibious fleet forcing the units onshore to only be suppor